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World oil production has entered terminal decline. Asian countries like China are experiencing a temporary economic boom, creating their own oil-based economies.
But this will only last for a few more years.
Depletion of oil will push inflation and that in turn will initiate a chain reaction of the various feedback mechanisms in the global market that will lead to a collapse of global industrial civilization, potentially leading to large population declines within a short period.
Smaller nations will be ripped apart first - social unrest and war likely.