Global Temperature Headed Toward 5 Degree Increase by year 2100, WMO Says


Staff member
Oct 7, 2008

The world’s average temperature is rising faster than previously thought, headed for a gain that may be triple the goal almost set by almost 200 countries.

The findings by the World Meteorologic Organization suggest an increase of 3 degrees to 5 degrees Celsius (5.4 to 9 degrees Fahrenheit) by the end of the century. It’s another indication of how far off track the planet is in meeting its target to contain global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius since the dawn of the industrial revolution.

That was the ambition in the 2015 Paris Agreement on climate change, a level that scientists identify as one where the worst impacts on the environment could be avoided. While a fluctuation of that level hardly registers during the course of a day, when applied to the climate it would mark the biggest shift in temperatures since the last ice age ended some 10,000 years ago.

“If we wanted to reach a 1.5 degree increase we would need to bend emissions and at the moment countries haven’t been following on their Paris pledges,” WMO Secretary General Petteri Taalas told reporters in Madrid, where envoys from almost 200 countries were attending a two-week United Nations conference on the issue.


Forum Elite
Oct 7, 2008
Yes, recent developments are scary, and it's possible we have already passed tipping points.

And a report on the BBC news earlier today (which I can't find online) suggested that the main East Antarctic icesheet may have already been destabilised by melting of the sea ice shelfs, raising the possibility of sea-level rise far beyond the 3-7m each that the Greenland and West Antarctic icesheets would produce if/when they melt completely. Time to disinvest in the Gulf Coast, Florida, and New York (now which current US President has major property investments in precisely those areas?).