Record surge in atmospheric CO2 seen in 2016

Meatpie

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The relentless rise of carbon dioxide in new grpahic by NASA

Concentrations of CO2 in the Earth's atmosphere surged to a record high in 2016, according to the World Meteorological Organization (WMO).
Last year's increase was 50% higher than the average of the past 10 years.

Researchers say a combination of human activities and the El Niño weather phenomenon drove CO2 to a level not seen in 800,000 years.

Scientists say this risks making global temperature targets largely unattainable.

This year's greenhouse gas bulletin produced by the WMO, is based on measurements taken in 51 countries. Research stations dotted around the globe measure concentrations of warming gases including carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide.

Another concern in the report is the continuing, mysterious rise of methane levels in the atmosphere, which were also larger than the average over the past ten years. Prof Nisbet says there is a fear of a vicious cycle, where methane drives up temperatures which in turn releases more methane from natural sources.

"The rapid increase in methane since 2007, especially in 2014, 2015, and 2016, is different. This was not expected in the Paris agreement. Methane growth is strongest in the tropics and sub-tropics. The carbon isotopes in the methane show that growth is not being driven by fossil fuels. We do not understand why methane is rising. It may be a climate change feedback. It is very worrying."
The implications of these new atmospheric measurements for the targets agreed under the Paris climate pact, are quite negative, say observers.

"The numbers don't lie. We are still emitting far too much and this needs to be reversed," said Erik Solheim, head of UN Environment.
"We have many of the solutions already to address this challenge. What we need now is global political will and a new sense of urgency."
The report has been issued just a week ahead of the next instalment of UN climate talks, in Bonn. Despite the declaration by President Trump that he intends to take the US out of the deal, negotiators meeting in Germany will be aiming to advance and clarify the rulebook of the Paris agreement.
 
That rise in methane in the tropics is puzzling - the main concern over methane has been release from thawing tundra and warming arctic sea beds. The half-life of C-14 is about 5730 years, so I guess any methane less than about 2000 years old is going to look modern by the time it's been mixed with other sources in the atmosphere. is there perhaps a massive increase in drying out of bogs, or of cattle ranching?
 
Thanks for the info DD. Can you post links from credible sources about the relation with thawing tundra where did you ge that info from? Would like to know more about that.
 
I don't believe negative climate changes have been caused by human activity. I just don't buy that. I also don't believe human activity can permanently alter current conditions towards a more desirable state. The planet is going to proceed through phases, as it always has, and they have little to do with us. What will be will be. Our job is to adjust, like the cockroaches and rats.
 
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